新时期能源消费与经济高质量增长的内在关系研究

Study on the Dynamic Relationship between Energy Consumption and High-quality Economic Growth in the New Era

本文基于要素禀赋、配置及规模效应,在拓展C-D生产函数的基础上推导出能源消费与资源配置效率的理论模型,进一步利用差分GMM估计方法来实证检验能源消费对劳动与资本基础生产要素产出效率的影响。研究发现:(1)整体上,能源消费对劳动与资本生产要素产出效率的估计系数均显著为正,能够一定程度上提升劳动与资本的产出效率;(2)具体而言,一次电力消费、煤炭消费对基础生产要素产出效率的估计效果优于石油消费与天然气消费,其中作为新兴能源的一次电力消费的促进效果最佳,而石油消费与天然气消费的促进效应不够理想;(3)对比分析劳动与资本产出效率,估计系数前者显著小于后者,整体上能源消费对资本产出效率促进效果更好。

In the new era,the policy of high-quality economic growth requires intensive and saving production of factors and environment-friendly development.At the same time,emphasizing the scientific allocation of resources,promoting efficiency change and alleviating ecological pressure will be essential issues.Based on the effect of factor endowments,configuration effect and scale effect,energy consumption and the resource allocation efficiency theoretical model,using differential GMM estimation method empirical analysis on coal consumption,is derived from the expansion of C-D production function to analyze the inner link between coal,primary electricity,oil,natural gas consumption and the production output efficiency of labor and capital.There are three conclusions obtained from the research.On the whole,the estimated coefficients of energy consumption on the output efficiency of labor and capital production factors are significantly positive,which indicates that energy consumption can promote the output efficiency of labor and capital to some extent;To be more specifie,primary electricity and coal consumption can promote the output efficiency of basic factors to a great extent than oil and gas consumption.Electricity consumption,as new energy,has the significantly higher value in promoting the output efficiency of capital and labor than oil and gas consumption.Last but not least,empirical analysis shows that the estimated coefficient of the labor output efficiency is significantly smaller than the capital output efficiency,which shows that energy consumption has a better effect on the promotion of capital output efficiency.