城市交通便利度对房价影响研究——基于14座新一线城市面板数据分析

The Influence of Traffic Convenience on Urban Housing Price——Based on panel data analysis of 14 new first-tier cities

在坚持"房住不炒"原则下,我国房地产市场渐趋平稳。本文旨在发现我国新一线城市交通体系成熟便利度与城市房价的内在联系,为未来新一线城市的内外部交通建设发展提供理论参考依据。研究结果表明:城市外部交通便利度对城市房价有较强的促进作用,位于交通枢纽位置且外部交通发展成熟的城市的房价相对较高;城市内部交通中,常规公共交通中公共汽车数量的增加会对房价产生较小的抑制作用,而城市内部道路交通拥挤度的提高则会推高城市房价,且很难表现出明显的周期性。在研究结论的基础上,本文为新一线城市交通系统建设及城市房地产政策提出建议。

Under the principle of"Houses are for living in and not for speculative investment",the real estate market in China is becoming more and more stable.The purpose of this paper is to find out the internal relationship between the maturity and convenience of the traffic system of the new first-tier cities and the housing price,and to point out the direction for the construction and development of the internal and external traffic of the new first-tier cities in the future.The results show that:the external traffic convenience has a strong role in promoting the urban housing price,and the housing price located in the transportation hub and with mature external traffic development will be higher;In the urban internal traffic,the increase of the number of buses in the regular public traffic will have a small inhibition on the housing price,while the increase of the traffic congestion degree in the urban internal traffic will increase the urban housing price,and it is difficult to show obvious periodicity.On the basis of the research conclusion,this paper puts forward suggestions for the construction of new first-tier cities traffic system and urban real estate policy.