摘要
新冠肺炎疫情对长沙县经济产生了一定的影响。为了研究疫情下长沙县经济的发展情况,基于灰色预测模型,定量分析疫情对长沙县经济发展的影响。实证结果显示:新冠肺炎疫情对长沙县2020年和2021年GDP的影响分别为-2.657%和-1.712%,经济发展在2021年有一定回升。另一方面,为了进一步探索如何减弱新冠肺炎疫情对长沙县经济发展的影响,引入灰色关联度模型研究影响长沙县经济发展关联因素并提出在后疫情时代促进长沙县经济发展的一些举措。
The COVID-19 pandemic has brought a certain impact on the economy of Changsha County.In order to study the economic development of Changsha County during the pandemic,this paper quantitatively analyzes the impact based on the Grey Prediction Model.The empirical results show that the impact of the pandemic on the GDP(gross national product)of Changsha County in 2020 and 2021 is-2.657%and-1.712%respectively and the dynamic clearance policy has led to a certain rebound in 2021.In addition,a Grey Correlation Model is introduced to find ways to attenuate the impact of the pandemic.By studying the influencing factors,some initiatives to promote the economic development of Changsha County in the post-pandemic era are proposed.
作者
龙佳丽
邓宇龙
LONG Jia-li;DENG Yu-long(School of Mathematics Science,Changsha Normal University,Changsha 410100,Hunan)
出处
《湖南工业职业技术学院学报》
2022年第5期8-11,38,共5页
Journal of Hunan Industry Polytechnic
基金
2021年湖南省教育厅高校工委项目“新时代‘00后定藏师范生’全学程思想政治教育培育模式研究”(项目编号:21D09)
关键词
经济发展
灰色预测模型
灰色关联度模型
economic development
Grey Prediction Model
Grey Correlative Model