民营经济与区域经济发展的关联性研究——基于PVAR模型的实证分析

Research on the Correlation between Private Economy and Regional Economic Development——Empirical Analysis Based on PVAR Model

根据2007~2019年中国30个省市自治区的数据,通过创建向量自回归模型(PVAR模型)来进行实证分析,对民营经济与区域经济发展之间的关系进行研究.通过实证得出:民营经济与区域经济发展之间具有正向的互动关系,其中一个因素的进步都会带动另一个因素的前进;民营经济与区域经济都会依靠自身的惯性发展;民营经济受区域经济发展的影响程度更强,区域经济受民营经济的影响程度相对较弱.基于此提出,政府应促进区域经济的高质量发展,同时激发民营经济的发展活力.

Based on the data of 30 provinces and autonomous regions in China from 2007 to 2019,the relationship between private economy and regional economic development was studied by establishing vector auto-regression model(PVAR model)for empirical analysis.The empirical results show that there is a positive interaction between private economy and regional economic development,the progress of one factor will drive the progress of the other factor.Private economy and regional economy will rely on their own inertia development.Private economy is more strongly influenced by regional economic development,while regional economy is relatively weak.Based on this,the government should promote the high-quality development of regional economy and stimulate the vitality of private economy.