尼日利亚基础设施建设与经济增长相关性的实证研究

Study on Relationship between Infrastructure and EconomicGrowth in Nigeria

尼日利亚是非洲目前第一大经济体,其经济增长模式日益受到关注。本文基于1990—2014年的数据,利用VAR、协整检验和Granger因果关系检验等方法,对尼日利亚基础设施和经济增长的相关性进行实证分析。结果表明,电力和交通基础设施对尼日利亚经济增长有显著正向的影响,且存在双向的因果关系。为实现长期的经济发展,尼日利亚应继续加强三网一化建设,拓宽投融资渠道,加强中非基础设施产能合作。

Nigeria has become the largest economy in Africa There is growing concern about its economic growth pattern.Based on the data of 1990-2014 years,this paper uses VAR,Cointegration Test and Granger C ausality Test to analyze the relationship between infrastructure and economic growth in Nigeria The results show that the electricity and transportation infrastructure have a significant positive impact on Nigeria’s economic growth,and there is a twoway causal relationship.For long-term economic growth,Nigeria should continue to strengthen the"Three Networks and Industrialization",broaden the channels of investment and financing,and strengthen the infrastructure capacity cooperation between C hina and Africa.