俄罗斯经济:结构现状及在全球价值链中的角色

Russian Economy: Structural Status and Its Role in Global Value Chain

全球价值链是一个国家融入全球与区域经济的结构性能力的体现。本文以全球价值链为分析框架和实证研究工具,在分析俄罗斯遭受西方制裁后的经济现状和结构性特征的基础上,对当下俄罗斯在全球价值链中的角色和地位进行全方位的实证考察。通过研究得出的结论是,俄罗斯全球价值链的能力提升存在着悖论,其突出经济主权安全、过度强调产品本土化、国内产业链不完整、长期远离全球价值链中心等等因素,直接影响了俄罗斯全球性和区域性经济竞争能力的塑造,就俄罗斯目前的总体经济结构现状而言,其产业链集中于全球价值链体系的上游端,不仅对俄罗斯的世界权力性大国构成明显产业链短板,同时其价值链与世界的联系也具有相当的外部性和脆弱性。

Global value chain reflects a country’s structural ability to integrate into the global and regional economy.With the global value chain as the analysis framework and empirical research tool,this paper analyzes the economic situation and structural characteristics of Russia after the Western countries’sanctions,and makes a comprehensive empirical study on Russia’s role and status in the global value chain.There are some paradoxes in improving Russia’s ability in global value chain,such as highlighting the security of economic sovereignty,overemphasizing the localization of products,incomplete domestic industrial chain,long-term distance from the center of global value chain and so on,all of which directly affect Russia’s global and regional economic competitiveness.Russia’s industrial chain is concentrated in the upstream section of global value chain system,which not only forms an obvious short board for Russia’s world power,but also has considerable externality and vulnerability in the connection with the world.