多式联运对航空客运量的影响分析

Analysis on the influence of multimodal transport on air passenger volume

多式联运是一种新兴的运输方式,通过整合多种交通资源形成一套完善的体系来提高运输效率。航空客运量可以用来评估民航业的发展状况,根据分析出的影响客运量变化的因素,可以为民航系统的发展提供方向。本文利用多元回归分析法,根据现阶段多式联运发展程度较高的上海虹桥机场数据,分析铁路、轨道、公路和水运的客运量对航空客运量产生的影响。

Multimodal transport is a new mode of transportation.It can improve the efficiency of transportation by integrating various traffic resources to form a perfect system.Air passenger volume can be used to evaluate the development of civil aviation industry.According to the factors that affect the change of passenger traffic volume,it can provide direction for the development of civil aviation system.Based on the data of Shanghai Hongqiao Airport,which has a higher degree of multimodal transport development,this paper analyzes the impact of railway,rail,highway and water transport passenger volume on air passenger volume by using multiple regression analysis method.