家庭生命周期对农户土地承包权退出意愿的影响研究

Influence of family life cycle on farmers’ willingness to withdraw from land contract right

基于全国2088份农户家庭调查数据,揭示家庭生命周期对土地确权后农户土地承包权退出意愿的影响机制。结果表明:1)家庭生命周期对农户土地承包权退出意愿影响显著,相比空巢期家庭,抚养期、负担期、稳定期和赡养期阶段的农户退出意愿较低;2)年龄、家庭规模、负担系数、非农化能力、均耕地面积、土地流转、城镇住房是影响农户土地承包权退出意愿的重要因素;3)在家庭生命周期的不同阶段,农户土地承包权退出意愿的影响因素存在显著差异。鉴于此,政策实践应立足农村家庭生命周期不同阶段的特征和规律,采取有针对性、保障性和可选择的制度安排。

Based on the data of 2088 peasant household surveys in China,we revealed the influence mechanism of family life cycle on farmers’willingness to withdraw from land contract right after land right confirmation.The results show that:1)the family life cycle has a significant impact on farmers’willingness to withdraw from land contract rights.Compared with families in empty nest period,farmers in maintenance period,burden period,stable period and maintenance period have lower withdrawal intention.2)The age of the head of household,family size,burden coefficient,non-agricultural ability,average cultivated land area,land circulation and urban housing are the important factors affecting farmers’willingness to withdraw from the contract right.3)At different stages of the family life cycle,there are significant differences among the factors influencing farmers’willingness to withdraw from land contract rights.In view of this,policy practice should be based on the characteristics and laws of different stages of the rural family life cycle,and adopt targeted,guaranteed and optional institutional arrangements.