中美对抗与日本的战略性作用

China-US Confrontation and Japan’s Strategic Role

唐纳德·特朗普是美国首位以显而易见的方式挑起中美对抗的总统。拜登政府上台后,继续推行与中国对抗的对华政策,致使中美关系已无法回到过去。通读拜登政府2021年3月3日发布的《国家安全战略临时指南》后会发现,除了修辞上有所区别之外,新政府的对华认知可以说是基本上延续了前任政府的看法。另一方面,拜登政府上台后中国的对美言行也没有较大变化。如果说中美对抗的根本原因在于所谓的"修昔底德陷阱",那么中美关系并未因美国政权更迭而出现戏剧性变化也就不足为怪了。但是,即使中美对抗存在必然性,我们也不能对两国对抗的激化袖手旁观。因为如果中美两个大国以零和思维展开赤裸裸的竞争,必将危及全世界特别是东亚地区的和平与繁荣。

Donald Trump was the first U.S.president to openly provoke confrontation between China and the United States.After the Biden administration came to power,it has continued to pursue the policy of confrontation with China,making it impossible for China-US relations to return to the past.After reading through the Biden administration’s interim guide to national security strategy issued on March 3,2021,it is found that except the rhetorical differences,the new government’s perception of China can be said to have basically followed the views of the previous government.On the other hand,China’s words and deeds towards the US have not changed significantly since the Biden administration took office.If the root cause of the China-US confrontation lies in the so-called"Thucydides Trap",it is not surprising that China-US relations have not changed dramatically following the change of US government.However,even if the confrontation between the two countries is inevitable,we cannot just stand idly by and watch the intensification of confrontation.This is because if China and the US engage in naked competition with a zero-sum mentality,it will definitely endanger the peace and prosperity of the whole world,especially the East Asia.