参议院选举后安倍外交走向观察

Abe’s Diplomatic Tendency after the House of Councillors Election

一直以来,日本社会对于参议院选举的重视程度相对较弱,但在日本首相安倍晋三实现修宪这一政治夙愿中,参议院选举有着特殊意义。本次选举由安倍率领的执政党赢得最终胜利,但修宪势力仍未达到规定的"三分之二以上的赞成"。在本次选举中,日本外交形式的变化对选情产生重大影响,尤其是对韩强硬外交顺应了民间社会的"反韩"情绪,同时也致使日韩关系走向低迷。这对日韩关系、中日关系、乃至东亚关系秩序的调整及发展走向将产生重要影响。

For a long time,the Japanese society has paid fairly less attention to the election at the House of Councillors.Yet for Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s political wish on amending the Constitution,the election result of the House of Councillors has some special significance.The ruling party led by Abe won in the final victory in the recent round of election.However,the force for constitutional amendment falls short of the prescribed"two-thirds of the approval"of all the Senates.In this election,the change in Japan’s diplomacy,especially the tough diplomacy toward the Republic of Korea(ROK)which conforms to"anti-ROK sentiment"among the public in Japan,has a significant impact on the election result,and meanwhile leads to the downturn of Japan-ROK relations.All these will have a bearing on the adjustment and future trend of the Japan-ROK relations,China-Japan relations and even the East Asian relations.