摘要
2017年,哈佛大学教授约瑟夫·奈提出,未来国际政治可能面临"金德尔伯格陷阱"。"金德尔伯格陷阱"这一概念源自美国经济学家查尔斯·金德尔伯格所著的《1929-1939年世界经济萧条》。然而,约瑟夫·奈提出的"金德尔伯格陷阱"与金德尔伯格在书中论述的情形并不一致。"金德尔伯格陷阱"的症结在于面对供给国际公共产品问题上,霸权国和崛起国存在不同的能力与意愿。本文通过辨析"金德尔伯格陷阱"这一概念的原义和引义,比较"金德尔伯格陷阱"的历史情境和现实情境,从国际公共产品的视角,探讨未来国际政治是否存在掉入"金德尔伯格陷阱"的风险。
In 2017,Professor Joseph Nye suggested that international politics could face"Kindleberger Trap"in the future."Kindleberger Trap"originates from the book The World in Depression,1929—1939 by American economist Charles Kindleberger.However,the"Kindleberger Trap"proposed by Joseph Nye is inconsistent with what Charles described in his book.The crux of the"Kindleberger Trap"is the different ability and willingness between the hegemonic power and the emerging power to supply international public goods.Through the analysis of original meaning and extended meaning of"Kindleberger Trap",this paper compares the historical and realistic situation of"Kindleberger Trap",and explores whether there is a risk of falling into"Kindleberger Trap"from the perspective of international public goods.
