摘要
电力、电量需求预测，是电力系统计划管理的重要内容和手段之一。用组合时序模型法，预测了某地区未来（１９９５～１９９７年）３６个月的供电量。经１９９５．１～１９９６．４共１６个月实际供电量检验，预测值的相对误差均在合理的范围内。预测结果，为该地区电力系统工程的规划、电网的发展、经济运行等方面，都提供了科学的参考数据。
Predicting electricity demand is one of the technologies and content of management of plan on electric power system. This paper predicts the electricity demand within 36 months from 1995 to 1997 by using a combination time model. Testing the predictions with the real amount of electric energy supply for 15 months, its relative error is kept within a reasonable scope. It thus provides scientific reference data for the planning of the electric power project as well as for the development and economical operat...
出处
《华南理工大学学报（自然科学版）》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1997年第8期73-77,共5页
Journal of South China University of Technology(Natural Science Edition)
关键词
供电量
预测
数学模型
electrical energy supply
forcasting
mathematical model
