摘要
通过分布函数的检验,油田压裂井月增油量服从对数正态分布。以其期望值来估计下一年的各月增油量,对未知的月增油量由GM(1,1)模型预测得到。在此基础上建立使生产成本最低且满足增油指标等约束的整变量优化模型,用其最优解制定下一年度各月的生产规划。
The conclusion,through tests,was researched that monthly increased oil production of fracturing wells in oil fields are subjected to the logarithmic normal distribution.Thus we can set up a GM(1,1) model with its expectation value.Based on this method, the paper establishes integral variable optimizing model which helps to minimize production cost and satisfy the constrains, such as the indicator of increased oil, and with its optimal solution, works out an annual production plan to provide the scientific b...
出处
《管理工程学报》
CSSCI
1999年第1期49-52,5,共5页
Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
关键词
概率分布
GM(1
1)模型
整数规划
压裂井
probability distribution
GM(1
1) model
integral programming
fracturing wells