城市工业废水排放量灰色预测的研究

The Quantity Grey Forecast of Our City Industrial Waste Emission

分析了污染排放量预测方法如弹性系数法、指数法、灰色预测模型的应用范围、应用条件及存在问题,通过相互比较最终采用灰色模型对城市废水排放量进行预测,以合肥市为例,预测结果表明该模型精度较高,方法可行。

This paper analyzed many methods' application scope, the application condition and the existence questions such as the elastic method of correlates, the exponential method, the grey forecast model. Through Comparing mutually, this paper applied the grey forecast model to quantity of city sewage. It took Hefei city as an example. The forecast result indicated this model has high precision, and this method is feasible.