性别对“4050”失业者的失业持续时间和再就业机会的影响——运用生存模型对厦门市失业者的经验研究

The Effect of Gender Difference on Unemployment Duration and Re-employment Opportunity: A Case study of "4050" unemployees in Xiamen

本文应用生存模型中的非参数法和COX半参数法,经验分析了性别对厦门市"4050"失业者的失业持续时间与再就业机会的影响。经验分析结果表明,性别对"4050"失业者的失业持续时间与再就业机会具有比较显著的影响,男性的平均失业持续时间为21.7个月,比女性的16.9个月长4.8个月,其再就业机会是女性的0.674倍。本文认为"4050"劳动力再就业市场上的阴盛阳衰现象在于"4050"劳动力再就业市场上男性的工作机会及接受工作的概率低于女性。因此,转变就业观念,择业不挑肥拣瘦,是促进再就业和构建和谐社会的重要途径。

By employing nonparametric and Cox parametric method in our analysis of the data collected from those unemployed who are at the age of 40-50("4050" unemployed) in Xiamen,this paper analyzes the effect of gender on these people s unemployment durations and re-employment opportunity.It has found that the effect is statistically significant.Male s average unemployment duration is 21.7 months,about 4.8 months longer that females(16.9 months),while male s reemployment opportunity is about 0.674 times o...