深圳电网智能化自动运行短期负荷预测系统

An Auto-Operating Intelligent Short-Term Load Forecasting System for Shenzhen Power Network

深圳电网自动运行短期负荷预测系统以“无人值守负荷预测”为目标,实现了信息采集、负荷预测、上报计划自动闭环运行模式。作者在原有系统的基础上,集成了智能化的自诊断及自管理模块,实现了预测过程错误自动诊断及运行结果自动管理功能,完善了“无人值守负荷预测”模式,以适应电力企业改革“减员增效”的要求。此外还介绍了预测算法组织方案、合理预测精度分析等内容,并总结了系统实际运行情况。

Aimed at unattended load forecasting,in auto-operating short-term load forecasting system for Shenzhen power network the automatic closed loop operating modes of information acquisition,load forecasting and reporting the schedules to higher authorities have been implemented.The authors integrate both intelligent self-diagnosis module and self-management module with original system,implement the functions of auto-diagnosis of error in forecasting process and auto-management of operation results,and improve t...