油气勘探风险评价

Risk assessment in oil and gas exploration

分别从地质勘查、地球物理勘探和油藏工程等角度简要介绍了 2 0 0 3年EAGE技术年会有关风险评价方面的技术概况。风险评估在地质勘查、油气藏预测和描述、工程规划与实施等各个阶段都是必不可少的 ;而信息技术(IT)、统计学和概率论 ,以及其他非线性预测技术是风险评价的主要手段。

This paper described briefly the risk assessment technologies in the view of geological investigation, geophysical exploration, and reservoir engineering, based on a review of the articles presented to the 65 th EAGE annual meeting. Risk assessment should be carried out in phases such as geological investigation, reservoir prediction and description, as well as planning and implementation. The main methods for risk assessment are information technology, statistics, theory of probability, and the other nonlinear prediction techniques.