指挥决策风险评估方法研究

The Study of Risk Assessment about Command and Decision Information System

如何准确地评估风险,及时准确地做出最优决策,取得战争胜利,是决策者必须研究的一个课题。通过对指挥决策风险评估方法的分析研究,对指数法、最大期望收益准则与最小遗憾准则、层次分析法、模糊熵模型分析不确定的指挥决策、决策树法等方法进行了描述,进一步加强对指挥决策风险评估认识及研究,提高高科技条件下指挥决策的质量和效率。

In the future high-tech war,the importance of the decision will go without saying regarding the operational both sides,the risk was inevitable in the war.But the risk also was the opportunity.How to deal with the correct and accurate appraisal risk,promptly accurately make the most superior decision,gain the war victory,is one of the most important topics which the decision had to study.This article through the analysis and research about the risk appraisal method,further strengthens to know and research on...