马尔科夫链在预测土地利用结构中的应用——以湖南娄底万宝镇为例

MARKOV PROCESS APPLIED TO PREDICTING LAND USE STRUCTURE——EXAMPLE FOR WANBAO TOWN IN LOUDI CITY,HUNAN

土地利用总体规划是土地利用管理工作的“龙头”,而确定土地利用结构是其重点之一,合理地预测土地利用结构对区域的发展具有重要的现实意义。文章通过马尔科夫链预测了乡镇土地利用结构。结果表明:在相关资料较难获得的远期,马尔科夫链能较好地预测未来的土地利用结构。

General land use planning is the leading of land use managing,and one of its emphases is determining land use structure.Rational prediction of land use structure has important significance to the region.The paper applied Markov process to predicting long—term land use structure of study town.The result shows that Markov process is able to predict long-term land use structure well when relevant material is hard to get.