关于核材料衡算监督检查最佳核查时间的选择及初始数据真伪辨别方法的研讨

Methods on the Best Moment and How to Distinguish the Real or Fake Initial Data When Inspecting the Nuclear Materials Owned Units

在核材料衡算核查过程中,核材料偷盗者拥有核材料的时间和其被揭露的可能性是两个相互矛盾的因素,对此两因素进行优化可以得到核材料核查的最佳时刻。另一方面可以运用数理统计的方法,观察数据是否具有随机性和是否遵从正态分布来判断初始数据的真伪。

In the process of inspecting accounting for nuclear materials, for the illegal owner of nuclear materials the duration of holding the materials and the probability of being discovered are two factors contradicted with each other. Using optimized method for these two factors, we can get the best moment for inspecting the nuclear materials owned by facilities. We can also distinguish whether the initial data are real or fake by using the statistic method of normal distribution and randomness.