摘要
以春季(4月10日～5月20日)东海赤潮为研究对象,选择2001年～2003年的16个赤潮个例,通过相关分析,归纳出四种利于赤潮发生的典型环流形势:准静止北涡南槽型、移动性暖脊型、高温扰动型和东亚中纬度移动性二槽一脊型.并利用其进行了拟合及试预报,拟合正确率59%,2004年试预报正确率62%.
16 red tides events were selected from 2001 to 2003 to investigate the impact of 500hPa circulation patterns on red tides outbreak in spring of East China Sea. Four typical patterns were concluded by analogue analysis. With these patterns experimental prediction of red tides in 2004 was made, the accuracy of which was 62%.
出处
《海洋预报》
2005年第z1期62-69,共8页
Marine Forecasts
基金
十五国家科技攻关计划重点项目(2001BA603B-06)资助。
关键词
赤潮
东海
环流形势
赤潮预报
Red tides
East China Sea
Circulation pattern
Red tides prediction
