摘要
近年来云南省河口县的交通事故率不断上升,其中摩托车造成的交通事故尤为突出,这一方面是由于摩托车数量的增加,另一方面是由于对驾驶员的管理不够严格.不同年龄段驾驶员的风险水平不同.用模糊区间信息矩阵分析了最近3年的交通事故数据,发现26～30岁年龄段的风险水平最高,因此建议当地政府应该加强对这一年龄段驾驶员的管理力度.
The increasing traffic accident rate in Hekou County,Yunnan Province has caught much attention of the local government.There are several factors contributing to the high accident rate such as the driver,the environment and the vehicle,especially the motorcycles.One reason for that is the increased number of motorcycles.Lack of rigorous management of motorcycle drivers is an another reason.The risk of causing accidents varies among drivers at different ages.The traffic accident information in these three years is analysed by using with fuzzy interval information matrix analysis.Then a conclusion is drawn that the drivers of the age between 26 and 30 are in the highest risk.Therefore, the local government should strengthen the management of motorcycle drivers at that age group.
出处
《自然灾害学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2005年第6期120-124,共5页
Journal of Natural Disasters
关键词
交通事故
信息矩阵
风险
traffic accident
information matrix
risk
