外资企业对外贸易与经济增长关系研究

Study on the relationship between foreign-investment enterprises' external trade and economic growth of China

讨论了外商投资企业对外贸易与我国经济增长的相关性,利用协整分析技术分析了外商投资企业进出口与我国经济增长的长期均衡关系,并建立了相应的数量模型。利用格兰杰因果关系检验技术讨论了外商投资企业进口、出口、进出口与我国经济增长间的因果关系。主要结论是:外商投资企业的对外贸易是引起我国经济增长的原因。

This paper deals with the correlation between foreign-investment enterprises' external trade and economic growth of China. By means of the co-integration test, the long-term equilibrium among the import, export, import & export of foreign-investment enterprises and the economic growth of China is analyzed,and corresponding quantity models are established. The causality between foreign-investment enterprises' external trade and economic growth of China is discussed by using the Granger test. The main conclusion is that the development of foreign-investment enterprises' external trade was the cause of the economic growth of China from 1986 to 2002.