台湾"320选举"后的岛内政局及两岸关系走向分析

The analysis of the development of Taiwan politics and two coast relationship after the March 20 election

陈水扁在台湾320选举中获胜后,岛内政治力量对比发生了重大变化,民进党全面掌控台湾政局。国民党面临势力萎缩和内部分裂的严峻考验。台独势力的猖獗对两岸关系的发展将产生严重消极影响,但遏制台独的大环境没有变,"政治更冷,经济更热",将成为今后两岸关系的主要特征。

Chen shui bian' s victory in the election of Taiwan regional leader represented a huge change of political power contrast. DDP will control the whole administration and KMT will face the serious test of power losing and deep internal division. The rising force of Taiwan independence will seriously harm the two coast relationship but can not change the objective environment which hostile to the independence of Taiwan. 'Colder politics, hotter economy' will be the character of two coast relationship.