农村土地养老状况及影响因素分析

Role of Land in Old Age Security and Its Correlates in Rural China

随着农村社会经济的发展,土地作为农村养老保障支柱的地位正在逐渐减弱。文章利用"2002年农村计划生育夫妇养老问题与对策研究"的调查数据,从老年人的养老所需和土地收入的供给两个角度出发,分析了土地养老的现状。同时采用Logistic回归的方法,分析地区差异、老人及其子女的人口特征、家庭特征这三类因素对土地养老能力的影响。研究结果显示,地区之间存在很大差异;老人及其同住子女的年龄、文化程度、从业类型不同,导致土地养老的可能性呈现显著差异;家庭规模越大、人均责任田越少,土地养老的可能性越小,而家庭总收入的影响则并不显著。

Using logistic regression method this paper employs the survey data from Survey of "Issues of Old-age Support among the Family Planning Household and Its Policy Implications" to analyze the current situation of the land demand and income supply for the elderly in rural area. The effects of characteristics of region, family and its members on capacity of land in old-age support are also investigated. We find that there is evident regional disparity. Age, educational attainment, and occupation make the role o...