动态数据驱动的北京市森林火险天气预报与发布系统研建

Study on Forest Fire Danger Forecast and Release System Based on Dynamic Data Driven Application System in Beijing

基于动态数据驱动应用系统(DDDAS)技术范式,对北京市森林火险预报与发布系统进行了研究。利用野外自动气象站获取的实时、动态数据以及气象部门提供的预报数据,实现了森林火险等级预报的自动化业务运行,并通过网络和手机短信方式对预报结果进行发布;系统在运行过程中能够根据预报结果自适应地对预报模型进行修正,使预报结果精度得到提高。

The forest fire danger forecast and release system based on dynamic data driven application system in Beijing was discussed in this paper.This system can works automatically by importing Real-time weather data from automatic weather stations in fields and weather forecasting data from meteorological departments.The results of forest fire danger forecast can be released by network and short message of mobile phone.The error of forest fire danger forecast can be decreased by adjusting forecast model adaptively.