基于化解银行不良资产的通货膨胀策略研究

Research on Strategies of Inflation Based on Cover Non-performing Loans

不良资产一般形成于经济高速增长时期,尤其是在通货膨胀时期及泡沫时期,而显露于经济低速增长时期和通货紧缩时期。通过计量模型实证检验分析,发现货币供应以Granger因果关系引起GDP的变动,从而表明历史货币有助于预测未来GDP,据此,提出了适度通货膨胀在增加名义GDP的情况下,可以化解银行不良资产的思路,并用模型实证这一结果的可能性。

Non-performing loans from higher GDP growth period,especially during inflation and bubble period,and expose in lower growth period or deflation period.Based on this,the dissertation devises econometric model,then empirically tests and analyses it,finds money supply causing GDP fluctuation in Granger causality,so it shows past money supply is helpful to predict future GDP,so this paper suggests properly increasing money supply and use moderate inflation to cover non-performing loans,and test its feasibility ...