摘要
1996年实现"软着陆"后,中国经济经历了一段低通胀或轻微紧缩的蛰伏期,并于2003年开始了新一轮经济"软扩张","软扩张"过程的主要特征是周期波动性弱化和稳定性增强,主要成因在于经济增长方式由总供给驱动向总需求驱动转变、紧缩性调控向稳健性调控的方向转变。进入2008年后,随着通货膨胀压力加大和国内外经济冲击的影响,本轮"软扩张"阶段有可能转入新一轮平稳经济周期。
Since the "soft landing" in 1996,China s business cycle has been in the periods of low inflation or deflation,and entered into the "soft expansion" in 2003.We believe that reasons for the realizations of "soft expansion" are the changes from aggregate supply driven growth to the aggregate demand driven growths,and changes from the tightening macroeconomic control to the robust macroeconomic control.Influenced by the pressure of inflation and shocks from inside and outside,the soft expansion will turn into n...
出处
《广西经济管理干部学院学报》
2008年第4期5-9,共5页
Journal of GuangXi Cadres College of Economic and Management
基金
吉林大学"985工程""经济分析与预测哲学社会科学创新基地"资助
关键词
经济周期
经济增长
宏观调控
business cycle
economic growth
macroeconomic control
