加工贸易与经济增长——兼论经济危机下的加工贸易政策

Processing Trade and Economic Growth

根据凯恩斯宏观经济理论并利用省际面板数据,对加工贸易活动对经济增长的影响进行了实证研究。结果表明:加工贸易对经济增长有着积极和显著的影响,新形势下我国应采取措施鼓励加工企业和相关的零部件厂商向中西部地区转移,以促进中西部地区经济增长和就业增加;研究还发现,消费增长对经济增长的边际影响超过了投资因素,消费已成为拉动经济增长的重要动力。国际经验表明,发达国家经济危机时仍应保持加工贸易政策的连续性。

According to Keynes s Macroeconomic Theory and using some provinces s Panel Data,the paper empirical analyses the relationship between processing trade and economic growth.The result shows that processing trade promotes economic growth greatly,and in order to speed economic growth and create jobs,we should encourage processing assembly enterprises and intermediate product firms related to those transfer to middle and west region in the current situation; We also find out that consume becomes a more importan...