浙江省粮食安全的数学模型研究

A Study on Mathematical Model of Grain Safety in Zhejiang Province

用定性分析与定量研究相结合的方法,对浙江省粮食生产的主要指标建立数学模型,分析粮食生产的发展现状、趋势,探讨粮食总产量减少的原因,研究粮食安全的主要影响因素,寻求粮食总产量稳定的途径与对策。这对促进农民增收、加快农村经济发展、保证全省经济持续稳定发展和社会和谐有着重要的现实意义。

The method combining qualitative analysis and quantitative study was applied to establish a mathematical model of main indexes for grain production in Zhejiang Province,the current situation and the trend of grain production were analyzed,the reasons of gross grain output reduction was discussed and the main factors influencing grain safety was researched,the approaches and countermeasures were sought to keep the gross grain output stable.This has an important practical significance for increase of peasants' income,economic sustaining and stable development in the whole province as well as social harmony.