摘要
文章分析了路面使用性能的发展规律及其特点,指出了传统预测方法的不足,介绍采用指数平滑法来提高预测精度,可解决我国路面使用性能预测模型,预测精度不高的问题。
After analyzing the development rule and character of pavement performance,the Paper pointed out the disadvantages of traditional forecast method and recommended the exponential smoothing method that can improve the forecast precision.Such method will resolve the problems existing in our country such as the lack of forecast model for pavement performance and the poor forecast precision.
出处
《西部交通科技》
2008年第3期32-35,共4页
Western China Communications Science & Technology
关键词
路面使用性能
指数平滑
传统预测方法
预测精度
Pavement performance
Exponential smoothing
Traditional forecast method
Forecast precision
