弹载电子设备寿命预测方法研究

Research on life prediction method of electronic equipment on the missile

介绍了寿命预测的基本概念及目前较常用的几种预测方法,分析了这几种方法的优缺点.着重描述了具有"少数据建模"特点的灰色GM(1,1)预测模型的建模方法及后验差精度检验方法,最后应用此模型解决了某型号弹载电子设备寿命预测的问题.

The concept of life prediction and several kinds of prediction method that are common used are introduced and the advantage and the disadvantage of these methods are also analyzed.Then,the gray system theory is elaborated in detail.Furthermore,the GM(1,1) prediction model is set up.And the model is applied for resolving the question of the life prediction of missile electronic equipment.