中国农村居民消费的过度敏感性分析

China’s consumption of rural residents over the sensitivity analysis

笔者以消费理论为基础,运用1985年～2007年我国农村居民人均实际消费和收入的年度数据,采用协整分析和误差修正对农村居民消费的过度敏感性进行分析,得出我国农村居民消费表现出过度敏感性特征的结论,并分析了其原因。为解决我国内需不足,开拓农村消费市场,有必要采取一系列措施,矫正农村居民消费的过度敏感性,以实现我国经济持续稳定增长、农民生活水平逐步提高的目标。

This paper is based on consumption theory, the use of 1985 ~ 2007, China's per capital real consumption of rural residents and the annual income data, the use of cointegration analysis error correction of the excessive consumption of rural residents sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the consumption of rural residents in China show the characteristics of over-sensitivity, and an analysis of why. Pointed out that China's domestic demand to address the shortage of rural consumer market, it is necessary to...