影响广西的热带气旋的预测概念模型

Conceptual Prediction Model Of The Tropical Cyclone Affecting Guangxi

利用太阳黑子相对数、拉萨站气温距平、相关海区海温距平、南极海冰面积资料 ,计算和分析前期太阳黑子活动、高原热状况、海洋行为和南极海冰变异与影响广西的热带气旋频数的关系 。

By using the data such as the relative sunspot number, the temperature anomaly in Lhasa, the SSTA in relative region and the informationon th sea ice area in South Pole, the relationship between the annual frequency of tropical cyclone affecting Guangxi and the activity of sunspots, the heat status of Tibetan Plateau, the action of ocean and the aberrance of sea ice in the prior period in South Pole is computed and analyzed, on the basis of which the conceptual prediction model is set up.