技术创新扩散速度模型

Model for Innovation Diffusion Rate

在总结了国内外关于技术创新扩散速度模型研究进展的基础上 ,针对 Bass模型族的基本假设 ,运用微分动力学理论与方法构建了 4个微分动力学模型 ,并以中国移动通信技术、彩电产品和旱育秧推广数据进行了实证分析 ,揭示了一些技术创新扩散规律 。

Based on the review of the studies of innovation diffusion, and aimed at the basic hypothesis of the Bass model, 4 differential dynamic models were formulated with the theory and method of differential dynamics.The empirical analysis of the models was made and some rules of the innovation diffusion were obtained the data from China mobile,telephone,China TV set and etc.