农村居民收入差距的演变与收敛——基于省际数据的实证研究

The Dynamics and Convergence of Rural Residents' Income Gap:An Empirical Study Based on Inter-provincial Data

采用分布动态法对中国农村居民收入分布及其演进趋势进行研究。结果表明,虽然在1985至2006年各省农民收入在分布形态上表现出一定程度的收敛特征,但在一定时期内,每个省份所属收入类型的稳定性依然很强,贫困农村地区实现经济跨越发展的可能性较低。从长期来看,各省农民收入向中高俱乐部靠拢的趋势虽然存在,但实现需要漫长的时间。为缩小地区差距促进协调发展,应着力解决最贫困农村地区的经济发展问题,争取尽早使这些地区实现脱贫。

Using the method of income distribution dynamics, the paper studies the status quo and trend of the income distribution of China s rural residents. It is suggested that from 1985 to 2006 provincial income distribution of rural residents is of the characteristics of convergence to some extent. However, over a certain period, the stability of income type of each province remains strong, and the poverty-stricken areas are unlikely to achieve a leap in the development. In the long run, there is a trend of movin...