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An oases dynamics model and its application in the Manas oasis 被引量:5

An oases dynamics model and its application in the Manas oasis
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摘要 This study applies theories of systems and system dynamics to ecological economic systems in the oasis environment, with the intention of finding the basic characteristics of the oasis environment and its feedback structures. This study explores the inner mechanisms of economic development in the oasis environment and its relationship to policy variables. This model is applied to economic development in the Manas oasis of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China. System dynamics method starts from studying feedback structure within the system study and then searches for the best solution through identifying the right “policy point” and through model simulation in the computer. It embodies the cream of “systems cybernetics theory”. This study is justified because the nature of the oasis system and the simulation results are scientifically sound and practically feasible. This study applies theories of systems and system dynamics to ecological economic systems in the oasis environment, with the intention of finding the basic characteristics of the oasis environment and its feedback structures. This study explores the inner mechanisms of economic development in the oasis environment and its relationship to policy variables. This model is applied to economic development in the Manas oasis of the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China. System dynamics method starts from studying feedback structure within the system study and then searches for the best solution through identifying the right “policy point” and through model simulation in the computer. It embodies the cream of “systems cybernetics theory”. This study is justified because the nature of the oasis system and the simulation results are scientifically sound and practically feasible.
出处 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2002年第3期348-356,共9页 地理学报(英文版)
基金 The national key project for basic research on arid areas of western China, No.G1999043500
关键词 OASIS dynamic modeling Manas oasis oasis dynamic modeling Manas oasis
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  • 1Pavel Krám,Hjalmar Laudon,Kevin Bishop,Lars Rapp,Jakub Hru?ka.Magic Modeling of Long-Term Lake Water and Soil Chemistry at Abborrtr?sket, Northern Sweden[J].Water Air and Soil Pollution (-).2001(1-4)
  • 2R. O. Flamm,M. G. Turner.Alternative model formulations for a stochastic simulation of landscape change[J].Landscape Ecology.1994(1)

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