基于门限回归的梯级水电站群调度规则研究

Study on Cascade Hydropower Stations Operation Rule Based on Threshold Regression Model

针对梯级水电站群的调度运行往往根据经验操作、缺少充分的科学依据的问题,根据门限回归具有非线性决策的特点,建立了梯级水电站群最优调度规则的门限回归调度函数,结合算例进行了最优调度规则的模拟计算,并与线性方法所得结果进行了对比。结果表明,此模型具有合理性、可行性及实用性。

The operation of cascade hydropower station is always rested on operator s experience,which lack of scientific basis.According to the nonlinear decision making feature of threshold regression,this paper establishes the rules of threshold regression model for optimal operation of cascade hydropower station.Combined with a practical example,it also uses this operation rule for simulate calculation.Comparison with the results of linear method,it shows that the proposed model has characteristics of rationality,...