包头市人口再生产与人口转变研究

Study on Baotou Population Reproduction and Transformation

1949年到2009年期间,包头市出生人数经历了出生人数增长阶段、出生人数持续阶段、出生人数减少阶段和出生人数回落回升阶段;出生率经历了第一高峰阶段、第一低谷阶段、第二高峰阶段、第二低谷阶段和第三高峰阶段;死亡人数经历了死亡人数增长阶段、死亡人数减少阶段、死亡人数持平阶段、死亡人数抬升阶段和死亡人数回落回升阶段;死亡率经历了下降阶段、徘徊阶段和起伏阶段;人口再生产类型的转变过程确定为传统型阶段→过渡类型阶段→现代型阶段;60多年的人口再生产类型转变的梳理,为包头市今后人口与计划生育工作提供了继续稳定低生育水平、解决低生育水平下的人口问题启示。

From1949 to 2009,the number of birth in Baotou has experienced different stages,they are the stages of the increasing number of birth,the continued growth of birth,the reduction of birth number and the fluctuations of birth number;the birth rate has experienced the first peak stage,the first downturn stage,the second peak stage,the second downturn stage and the third peak stage;the number of death in Baotou has experienced different stages,they are the stage of the increasing number of death,the reduce stage,the remain stage,the elevating stage and the fluctuations stage;the death rate has experienced the down and declined stage,the wandering stage and the fluctuations stage;the transformation of population reproduction type is traditional stage→ transitional stage→ modernity stage;through more than 60 years,transformation of population reproduction,what revelations we can gain are to provide the stability of low fertility level and deal with the population problem under the condition of low fertility level for the future work on population and family planning of Baotou.