西藏高原强对流天气及短临预报研究进展

Research Advancement about the Severe Convective Weather and the Short-term Forecasting Systems in Tibetan Plateau

高原地区的强对流天气突发性强、易多发、强度大、影响重、预报难,但针对高原地区强对流天气及其短临预报系统的总结还较少。由于高原特殊的地理环境及显著的热力作用和动力作用的影响,高原强对流天气具有不同于东部平原地区的独特特征,其研究进展概括具有重要指导意义。概括了青藏高原地区尤其是西藏地区强对流天气研究的进展,包括高原地区强对流天气气候特征,高原强对流天气的环流背景及影响系统,强对流天气的预报技术、相关短临预报系统等,为进一步的研究工作和短临预报系统建设提供研究背景。

The plateau area strong convective weather has the characteristics of frequency,high strength and a greater influence,and forecast of difficult that is its important expression.But summary of the plateau strong convective weather and short-term forecasting system is not enough.Because of the influence of special geographical surroundings and dynamic and thermal effect,the characteristic of the plateau area strong convective weather is differ from eastern plain region.The generalization of research progress has important guiding significance.This research has important significance.This paper generalizes the progress in study of severe convective weather that happened in Tsinghai-Tibet Plateau especially in Tibetan plateau,Including the characteristic of the plateau area strong convective weather and its circulation background and influence system. We make a study on the technology of forecasting severe convective weather and summarizing short-term forecasting system,hoping to provide the research background for deeper research and construction of short-term forecasting system