农业机械装备数量预测模型的研究与应用

The Reasearch and Applying in Prediction Model for the Number of Agricultural Machinery Equipment

科学地预测对于决策具有重要的作用。为此,针对农业机械装备发展所需,选择基于时间序列的预测模型对我国单位耕地面积上农业机械装备数量进行预测,以期为农业机械化发展的研究和决策提供科学的方法和理论依据,为我国农业机械化事业工作者提供一定的参考。

Due to scientific forecast has important effect in decision-making.So in allusion to the need of agricultural mechanization equipment developing decision-making.Models based on temporal series are chosen to forecast the number of agricultural mechanical equipment in unit plantation area.It aims to supply scientific methods and theory basis for the research and decision-making of agricultural mechanization developing.It also can offer reference for operators of agricultural mechanization.