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The Effect of Climatic Jump on the Agricultural Production in Shenyang 被引量:1

沈阳地区气候跃变对农业生产的影响(英文)
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摘要 Using conventional mathematical statistics,linear regression and the standard deviation,the quantitative analysis was made on the climate changes in Shenyang.The results showed that the trend of precipitation reduced 155 mm,which was made the greatest contribution by summer and autumn.It decreased 43 mm on the average after the climate jump.The precipitation variability in spring increased and drought risk in spring increased.The first soaking rain limited the spring planting time.The temperature trend raised 1.3℃,mainly in spring and winter.The frost-free period extended about 13 d.The accumulated temperature trends in crop growing season increased 290℃ and it had an average increase of 178℃ after the climate jump.This trend of climate warming made the end of last frost advanced.Early sowing of crops suitably was possible,which was beneficial for agricultural production.The precipitation decrease,the time delay and instability of the first soaking rain were unfavorable for crop growth and seeding.And they became the factors that constrained the normal growth and stabile yield raise of crops. Using conventional mathematical statistics,linear regression and the standard deviation,the quantitative analysis was made on the climate changes in Shenyang.The results showed that the trend of precipitation reduced 155 mm,which was made the greatest contribution by summer and autumn.It decreased 43 mm on the average after the climate jump.The precipitation variability in spring increased and drought risk in spring increased.The first soaking rain limited the spring planting time.The temperature trend raised 1.3℃,mainly in spring and winter.The frost-free period extended about 13 d.The accumulated temperature trends in crop growing season increased 290℃ and it had an average increase of 178℃ after the climate jump.This trend of climate warming made the end of last frost advanced.Early sowing of crops suitably was possible,which was beneficial for agricultural production.The precipitation decrease,the time delay and instability of the first soaking rain were unfavorable for crop growth and seeding.And they became the factors that constrained the normal growth and stabile yield raise of crops.
出处 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2010年第3期58-63,共6页 气象与环境研究(英文版)
关键词 Climate jump AGRICULTURE Linear regression Standard deviation China Climate jump Agriculture Linear regression Standard deviation China
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