摘要
[Objective] The research aimed to study the influence of climate warming on the agriculture in Shenbei New District of Shenyang in recent 38 years.[Method] Based on the temperature data in Shenbei New District of Shenyang during 1971-2008,by using the conventional statistical method,the variation trends of temperature and active accumulated temperature in Shenbei New District under the climate warming environment were analyzed,and the influence of climate warming on the agriculture was discussed.[Result] The annual average temperature,annual average maximum temperature,annual averageminimum temperature and ≥ 0℃,≥ 10℃ active accumulated temperatures which were passed stably in Shenbei New District in recent 38 years all showed the obvious rising trend.The climate tendency rates were respectively 0.4,0.3,0.1℃/10 a and 79.1,76.7℃·d/10 a.They all showed the declining trend in the coldest December,January and the rising trend in other months.The rising range of maximum temperature was bigger than that ofminimum temperature,and the rising range in summer was bigger than that in winter.The analysis result was different from that of many scholars.When the temperatures rose,and the heat resources increased,the agricultural cropping index improved,and the cultivated boundary of mid-late maturity variety moved northward.The industrialized agriculture developed quickly.Meanwhile,the risks of drought and flood disasters increased,and the insect pest aggravated.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for improving the cognizance about the influence of climate warming on the agricultural production and strengthening the strain capacity of local agricultural production adapting the climate variation.
[Objective] The research aimed to study the influence of climate warming on the agriculture in Shenbei New District of Shenyang in recent 38 years.[Method] Based on the temperature data in Shenbei New District of Shenyang during 1971-2008,by using the conventional statistical method,the variation trends of temperature and active accumulated temperature in Shenbei New District under the climate warming environment were analyzed,and the influence of climate warming on the agriculture was discussed.[Result] The annual average temperature,annual average maximum temperature,annual averageminimum temperature and ≥ 0℃,≥ 10℃ active accumulated temperatures which were passed stably in Shenbei New District in recent 38 years all showed the obvious rising trend.The climate tendency rates were respectively 0.4,0.3,0.1℃/10 a and 79.1,76.7℃·d/10 a.They all showed the declining trend in the coldest December,January and the rising trend in other months.The rising range of maximum temperature was bigger than that ofminimum temperature,and the rising range in summer was bigger than that in winter.The analysis result was different from that of many scholars.When the temperatures rose,and the heat resources increased,the agricultural cropping index improved,and the cultivated boundary of mid-late maturity variety moved northward.The industrialized agriculture developed quickly.Meanwhile,the risks of drought and flood disasters increased,and the insect pest aggravated.[Conclusion] The research provided the scientific basis for improving the cognizance about the influence of climate warming on the agricultural production and strengthening the strain capacity of local agricultural production adapting the climate variation.
