基于周期变量的经济预测分析

Analysis of the Economic Forecasts of the Cycle Variables

由于商业和经济时间序列运行中存在周期性经济扩张与经济紧缩交替更迭、循环往复现象,为避免经济出现较大波动,本文以此建立相应模型,对经济运行进行科学预测,并提出了具体的预测方法。

Due to cyclical economic expansion and economic contraction in the running of the business and economic time series alternated cycle phenomenon,in order to avoid the economy to greater volatility in this article in order to establish the appropriate model,and scientific predictions of economic operation,and put forward specific prediction methods.