我国高等教育、产业结构高级化与经济增长的VEC模型分析

The VEC Model Analysis on the Relationship of Higher Education,Industry Structure Upgrade and Economic Growth

基于我国1978-2010年时间序列数据,在VEC模型估计的基础上,使用格兰杰因果检验、方差分解、脉冲响应和协整检验,对高等教育和产业结构的动态相互影响关系进行了实证研究。结论表明:我国产业结构优化促进了高等教育发展,从而促进了我国经济增长。但是高等教育发展和经济增长并没有引起产业结构的改变,同时在短期内产业结构优化大于经济增长对高等教育发展的影响。

Based on the 1978-2010 annual time-series data,the VEC model is estimated on the basis of the Granger causality test,variance decomposition,impulse response and Johansen co-integration tests,higher education and industrial structure dynamic interaction relationship between the empirical research.The conclusion says China's industrial structure has optimized and promoted the development of higher education,as well as China's economic growth.However,the development of higher education and economic growth has not changed the industrial structure,and the optimization of the industrial structure in the short term is more important than the impact of economic growth on the development of higher education.