我国水产品出口影响因素与潜力分析

Analysis on Influence Factors and Potentialities of Chinese Aquatic Product Export

选取1997～2011年我国向33个主要贸易伙伴国水产品出口的面板数据,基于引力模型分析我国水产品出口的影响因素及贸易潜力,提出优化水产品出口市场布局的合理建议。结果表明,进口国人口规模、WTO自由贸易政策、需求结构差异和我国渔业经济总产值对我国水产品出口具有积极的推动效应,而地理距离因素限制了我国水产品出口额的增长。我国应充分利用区域经济合作组织提供的优惠贸易条件,维持欧美市场现有份额的同时,深入开发人口规模较大的近邻市场。

Based on gravity model, the paper used Chinese 33 main trading partners' panel data of aquatic product trade from 1997 to 2011 to conduct empirical study of influence factors and estimated potential: ties for aquatic exports, then put forward reasonable proposals to optimize the layout of aquatic product exporting market. The results showed that: China should focus on future, enhancing the supervision of aquatic production, processing and transportation, narrowing the gap of inspection standards among developed countries, taking full use of favorable terms of regional economic cooperation, developing the market of close neighbor with large-scale population, and keeping existing share of European and American markets.