摘要
文章基于1995~2007年辽宁省分行业能源消费数据,计算了辽宁省能源消费的碳排放量,并采用对数平均Divisia指数分解法对碳排放增长的驱动因素进行了分析。结果发现,经济规模的扩大是辽宁碳排放增加的决定性因素,产业结构的重型化也起到了一定的增排作用;能源效率的提高在很大程度上抑制了碳排放增长,而能源替代效应对碳排放抑制作用不明显。因此,要在保持经济快速增长的同时兼顾节能减排,必须大力调整产业结构,提高能源效率,优化能源消费结构。
Based on the 1995 to 2007 industrial energy consumption data in Liaoning Province,the paper calculated the CO_2 emissions of energy consumption each year,and analyzed the drivers of CO_2 emission growth using the method called logarithmic mean Divisia index(LMDI).It is found that the expansion of the economy scale is a decisive factor of CO_2 emission growth in Liaoning;heavy-duty industrial structure also plays a role in the increasing of carbon emissions;the improvement of energy efficiency can reduce the CO_2 emissions to a large extent,and the effect of energy substitution on the reduction of CO_2 emissions is not obvious.Therefore,to maintain the rapid economic growth while taking energy conservation into account,we must make industrial structure adjustment,improve energy efficiency and optimize energy consumption structure.
出处
《大连理工大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
2012年第1期35-40,共6页
Journal of Dalian University of Technology(Social Sciences)
基金
辽宁省哲学社会科学基金项目(L09CJL033)
教育部博士点基金项目(新教师类)(20100041120042)
教育部人文社会科学基金项目(09YJC790022)
中央高校基本科研业务费引进人才科研项目(852004)