摘要
文章通过对中国碳交易市场需求与供给、国际配额市场价格以及政府限价等因素的分析,建立中国碳交易价格决定机制模型,并运用计量经济分析方法进行实证检验。结果表明:中国碳交易市场CDM的价格与伦敦国际石油交易所的原油期货价格呈显著的正相关关系;中国碳交易市场CDM的价格与联合国对中国CDM项目的 CER签发率呈微弱的负相关关系;中国碳交易市场CDM的价格与欧洲气候交易所的EUA期货价格具有显著的正相关关系。
China’s carbon trading market price was affected by the demand and supply of carbon,the price floor,as well as some other factors.The model was established aiming at analyzing how these factors affect China’s carbon trading market price.The econometric analysis was used in this study.The result shows that China’s carbon price has a significant positive correlation with the crude oil futures price of International Petroleum Exchange in London.China’s carbon price has a weak negative correlation with the CER issuance rate of China’s CDM projects issued by the United Nations.Chinese carbon market follows the laws of supply and demand.In addition,EUA futures price of European Climate Exchange has a great influence on China’s carbon price.
出处
《大连理工大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
2013年第3期42-46,共5页
Journal of Dalian University of Technology(Social Sciences)
基金
国家自然科学基金项目:"基于跨区域水环境整治的流域生态补偿机制研究:以辽河为例"(70973013)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目:"建立和完善中国生态补偿机制的对策研究"(DUT10RW412)
关键词
碳交易市场
碳价格
供求规律
清洁发展机制
carbon market
carbon price
laws of supply and demand
clean development mechanism