基于灰色系统理论的我国能源结构预测及优化研究

Research on China Energy Structure Forecast and Optimization Based on Grey System Theory

以我国2000—2010年的能源生产和消费结构数据为基础,用灰色系统模型GM(1,1,α)对这些数据进行分析,并通过MATLAB程序预测了未来十年我国的能源生产和消费结构,对预测结果进行了分析和总结。结合预测结果,对能源结构进行调整和优化分析,提出了相关建议。

Based on China's energy production and consumption structure data from 2000 to 2010,this paper uses the gray system model GM(1,1,α) to conduct analyze on the data,forecasts the future ten years of energy production and consumption structure of China by MATLAB software and analyzes and summarizes the predicted results.Based on the predicted results,the energy structure modulating and optimization is analyzed and some suggestions are put forward.