中国十大城市群主要城市高等教育与区域经济协调综合评价研究——基于107个城市2000年和2010年的横截面数据

An Empirical Study on the Degree of Coordination between Higher Education and Economic Level in major cities of Top Ten Urban Agglomerations in China——Based on cross-sectional data of 107cities in 2000 and 2010

通过构建衡量指标体系,采用因子分析、相关分析、聚类分析和象限分析等研究方法,使用2000年和2010年横截面数据对我国十大城市群107个城市的高等教育与区域经济之间的协调度进行了实证研究。结果表明:"十五"和"十一五"期间,107个主要城市高等教育与区域经济的总体协调程度有所下降;各主要城市高等教育水平分布由高到低大体呈现出"省会城市→东部沿海城市→中西部内陆城市"的分布特征;经济发展水平分布由高到低大体呈现出"东部省会城市和直辖市→东部沿海城市→东部内陆城市→中部城市→西部城市"的分布特征;主要城市高等教育对区域经济发展的贡献是非常显著的,但贡献度随时间推移有所下降;城市之间经济发展差距逐步加大,且经济发展速度之间的差异整体上远大于高等教育发展速度之间的差异。从加大高等教育投入、明确城市发展定位、完善劳动力市场等方面提出了相应的政策建议。

Using the 2000and 2010’s cross-sectional data,this paper conducts an empirical study on the degree of coordination between higher education and economic level in 107major cities of Top Ten Urban Agglomerations with the approach of factor analysis,correlation analysis,cluster analysis and quadrant analysis.The research shows that,during the 'Tenth Five-Year' period and the 'Eleventh Five-Year' period,the coordination level between higher education and economic development level in 107major cities was slightly declined.In general,the higher education level distribution of the major cities from high to low was showing the characteristics from the capital cities,to eastern coastal cities,and to central western inland city,while the economic development level distribution was showing the characteristics from the eastern provincial capital cities and municipalities,to eastern coast of the city,then to eastern inland cities,to central city and to western city.Overall,Major cities of higher education contribution to regional economic development was significantly,but the contribution has declined over time.Economic development gap among major cities was gradually increasing,and the development speed difference of economic was larger than the higher education.Therefore,we should increase higher education funding investment,position a clear urban development,and improve the labor market in future.